Predict.fun

How we read it

Predict.fun is a prediction market on BNB Chain ^[1].

Predictmoni reads Predict.fun prices from the Predict.fun catalogue, busiest markets first.

What blockchain does Predict.fun run on?

Predict.fun runs on BNB Chain. It matches orders off-chain in a central limit order book and settles trades with on-chain smart contracts.

Predict.fun's documentation is titled Prediction Markets on BNB Chain ^[1].

Its protocol matches orders in an off-chain order book. On-chain contracts handle execution, settlement and resolution ^[2].

Collateral is backed by USDT ^[2]. The smallest order is 1 USDT ^[3].

How Predictmoni reads Predict.fun

Predictmoni reads the Predict.fun catalogue in order of volume, within a time budget. It also fetches any curated Predict.fun market directly by its id.

Fees

Predict.fun charges takers only. Makers pay no fee ^[3].

How much does Predict.fun charge takers?

Predict.fun charges takers 2% times the lower of the price and one minus the price, per share. The fee peaks at a 50-cent price.

The formula is Raw Fee = Base Fee % × min(Price, 1 − Price) × Shares, with a 2% base fee ^[3].

On 100 shares at 50 cents, the fee is $1.00 ^[3].

On 100 shares at 1 cent, the fee is $0.02 ^[3].

When a 10% fee discount is active, the fee is multiplied by 0.9 ^[3].

Does Predictmoni assume the Predict.fun fee?

No. Predict.fun publishes a taker fee on each market, and Predictmoni reads it per market. Every market sampled on 2026-09-25 showed 200 basis points.

In 30 open markets read on 2026-09-25, each listed a taker fee of 200 basis points and a maker fee of 0 ^[6].

200 basis points is the 2% base rate. The fee actually charged still depends on the share price ^[3].

Predict.fun's maker-rebate trial

Predict.fun ran a maker-rebate trial on UP/DOWN crypto markets, paying makers 25% of the taker fee. The trial was set to end September 16, 2026 ^[4].

The rebate is paid in the same transaction as the fill, with no claim step ^[4].

Predict.fun said it would then decide whether to extend the program, expand it or end it ^[4]. Check its documentation for the current status.

Where it appears on this site

Predict.fun appears on Predictmoni's price-gap board and in trader analysis. Copy trading is not available on Predict.fun.

The venue index has notes on every venue we read.

How does Predict.fun feed the price-gap board?

The price-gap board reads Predict.fun prices alongside Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless and Opinion. Its two curated Predict.fun pairs covered the September 2026 Fed meeting.

Both pairs matched a Predict.fun Fed decision market against Kalshi's market for the same meeting. That meeting has been held, so no Predict.fun pair is live on the board today.

The live gaps are on the prediction market arbitrage board.

Can you copy trade on Predict.fun through Predictmoni?

No. Predictmoni copy trading runs on Polymarket only today. On Predict.fun, Predictmoni shows prices, price gaps and trader analysis only.

Predictmoni ranks Predict.fun traders on its trader analysis page.

Quirks worth knowing

Predict.fun's quirks sit in its market fields, its oracle and its yield.

Why does a Predict.fun market title look like a single word?

Predict.fun's title field holds the outcome label, such as a team code. The full question sits in a separate question field.

In a sample read on 2026-09-25, a market titled "FRA" carried the question "Will France win on 2026-09-25?" ^[6].

Another, titled "10 (250 bps)", asked "Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?" ^[6].

Predictmoni shows the question, so rows line up with the full questions from other venues.

How does Predict.fun resolve markets?

Predict.fun says all new markets since March 2026 resolve through UMA's Optimistic Oracle. An undisputed proposal resolves in roughly two hours.

Anyone can propose an outcome by posting a bond. Anyone can dispute it ^[5].

A second dispute goes to a vote of UMA token holders. That path can take as long as a week ^[5].

Why did Predictmoni grade Predict.fun pairs lower?

Predict.fun's technical overview describes an oracle with no bond or dispute step. A wrong proposal there is harder to correct, so the grade dropped.

The technical overview lists whitelisted requestors, whitelisted proposers and no bonding or dispute mechanism ^[2].

That differs from the UMA process Predict.fun describes for new markets ^[5]. Neither page says which markets use which oracle.

When the board carried Predict.fun pairs, they were graded medium where their Polymarket twins were graded high.

Yield on Predict.fun deposits

Some Predict.fun markets earn yield by depositing locked collateral into the Venus protocol. Predict.fun also runs a separate set of contracts without yield ^[2].

Predict.fun stops creating yield-bearing markets when the Venus USDT pool's utilization is too high ^[2].

Its team can withdraw everything from Venus if it judges the funds to be at risk ^[2].

Sources (6)

Predict.fun runs on BNB Chain. docs.predict.fun/ (checked 2026-09-25)
Off-chain CLOB for matching, on-chain contracts for execution, settlement and resolution; wrapped collateral backed by USDT; UmaCompatibleOptimisticOracle with whitelisted requestors/proposers and no bonding or dispute mechanism; optional Venus yield, paused at high utilization, team can withdraw from Venus. docs.predict.fun/developers/technical-overview (checked 2026-09-25)
Makers pay no fee; taker fee = Base Fee % x min(Price, 1 - Price) x Shares at 2%; $1.00 per 100 shares at $0.50, $0.02 at $0.01; 10% discount multiplies by 0.9; minimum order 1 USDT. docs.predict.fun/the-basics/predict-fees-and-limits (checked 2026-09-25)
Makers receive 25% of the taker fee on UP/DOWN crypto markets, paid in the fill transaction; two-month trial ending September 16, 2026, after which Predict decides whether to extend, expand or end it. docs.predict.fun/knowledge-base/maker-rebates (checked 2026-09-25)
Since March 2026 all new markets use UMA's Optimistic Oracle; bonded proposals, disputes escalate to a UMA vote; undisputed about two hours, up to a week with a vote. docs.predict.fun/knowledge-base/how-resolution-works-on-predict (checked 2026-09-25)
POST query (markets, isResolved:false, first 30 by 24h volume): all 30 returned takerFeeBps 200 and makerFeeBps 0; title holds the outcome label ("FRA" vs question "Will France win on 2026-09-25?"; "10 (250 bps)" vs "Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?"). NOTE: this is Predict.fun's undocumented web-app endpoint and answers POST only; recommend NOT rendering it as a public link. https://graphql.predict.fun/graphql (checked 2026-09-25)